Both governors have signed executive orders banning school districts and governmental authorities from imposing mask mandates. [emailprotected], 617-573-8447 Recent social media posts have claimed that incumbent Ron DeSantis has fallen behind Democrat Charlie Crist in the Florida governor race. Note: States identified in red with an R in parentheses have Republican governors; states in blue with a D in parentheses have Democratic governors. Two international studies have also determined that lockdowns potentially have saved millions of lives, Reuters reported on June 2020. Meanwhile, the majority of other polls, past and more recent, still have the current governor in a comfortable lead. Thats a sizable surge in popularity for the governor, who trailed Trump 47%-40% in a Suffolk poll taken in January. Fifty-one percent of Texas voters during that time approved of Abbotts performance. FAQ | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | Site Map, Human Resources & Professional Development, CLICK HERE to view Executive Summary with full poll results, including crosstabs. Crist himself is up against Nikki Fried, Florida's Agriculture Commissioner, in the Democratic primaries, though the odds are heavily skewed in his favor. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. However, Demings hasnt risen above 41% and still struggles with statewide name recognition, with 20% of likely midterm voters saying they have not heard of her and an additional 22% indicating that they have heard her name but have not formed an opinion. The state's new highest daily toll of deaths was 901 on August 26. His approval rating dropped 6 percent and his disapproval rating increased 8 percent among all voters since July 1. Overall, 62 percent of Hispanic voters, 68 percent of white voters and 40 percent of African-American voters approve of DeSantis. Send anonymous news tips to[emailprotected]. It is true that the public is far less interested in these hearings thanininflation and other domestic issues, but thatonly plays well for Trump if he takes advantage. Recent social media posts have claimed that the Governor has fallen behind his prospective Democratic opponent in the polls. Every little bit helps. underwhelming, but not **that** bad. Typically,GOP voters rally around their standard-bearerin the upper 80s. Donald Trump trailing in a contest with another Republican is a sea change, said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. I wrote in this space in May that aDeSantis-Tim Scottticket would beable to knock out Trump and be a favorite to wipe out any Democratic ticket in 2024. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Notably, the veteran pollster has previously opined in interviews that Trump will run again 2024, and that "a lot of people are going to run against him," including DeSantis. Only Trump is holding rallies around the country; hehas all but announced his candidacy and continues to work nonstop at dominating theheadlines. For his part, Youngkin is trying to change the subject to education, especially hot-button issues like critical race theory. tweeted. And similarly to the Fabrizio poll, the margin of error here, +/- 3.67 percent, far exceeds Crist's apparent lead of 1.2 percent. He alsohas toget throughreelectionin Florida in November. The subset of 163 likely 2024 Democratic Primary voters for president has a margin of error of +/-7.7 percentage points and the subset of 174 likely 2024 Republican Primary voters for president has a margin of error of +/-7.4 percentage points. Additionally, the methodology used also raises some questions: The poll didn't screen for likely voters, meaning that it does not factor in a potential turnout gap between Republicans and Democrats in the election. Even his Republican numbers are not great,at 80 percent. The state's previous highest daily toll of deaths was 272 on January 22. Its our hope that this prompts him to follow the lead of Commissioner Fried and basically every doctor in the state in publicly, repeatedly calling for Floridians to get vaccinated and to end his defunding of schools.. As of September 2, Florida is ranked 20th among U.S. states with the highest vaccination rates. Helags Trump nationally and inprimary polling. But since Northam cant run again, the Democratic candidate, former Governor Terry McAuliffe, is in a tight race with wealthy businessman and Republican nominee Glenn Youngkin. Looking beyond polls at other metrics, DeSantis remains largely popular in Florida, with a solid approval rating of 58 percentthe highest among the elected officials surveyed in a University of North Florida pollamid recent controversies, such as his ongoing spat with Disney. Greg Abbott (R) have slipped in popularity since July, according to a survey from, Lawmakers trounce Lobbyists in annual charity hockey game, These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates bill, Biden mocks Rep. 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Ron DeSantis (R) and Texas Gov. As President Trump dithered his way through the first months of the pandemic, it became clear that when it came to peoples daily lives, governors would be the ones with the power. Based on a casual reading of the polls, Donald Trump looks to have smooth sailing to the Republican presidential nomination in 2024andthe chance to erase the stink of losing to Joe Bidenthathe so covets. He appears to be comfortably ahead of his Republican opponent and his approval ratings during the pandemic have dropped only 5 points. Only Pence is competitive, but that is a bit generous. The poll surveyed 2,904 registered voters in Florida. DeSantis' press secretary also mentioned that, since mid-August, the overall number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations has declined steadily by about 9.7 percent, according to the Florida Hospital Association. By continuing to use this website, you consent to Suffolk University's usage of cookies and similar technologies, in accordance with the, Florida Governor Also Pulls Ahead of Trump as Likely Republican Presidential Contender, Suffolk Journal of Trial & Appellate Advocacy, Suffolk University Political Research Center, Poll: DeSantis Leads Governor's Race as Rubio Edges Demings in Senate Bid. And 62% rated conditions as fair or poor, up 12 points from the 50% rating in January. We're looking to expand for more bipartisan representation. By the end of August, 51 percent disapproved. On August 31, the state reported 15,949 COVID-19 hospitalizationsa 653 percent increase. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 percent. While two recent polls have indeed shown a narrow lead for DeSantis's opponent Charlie Crist, it falls within the margin of error, while the reliability and scope of the polls also come into question. In the past month, Trumps best result is a 42-38 percent lead in a May Redfield & Wilton survey. Florida Gov. Polling numbers are not the only problem for Trump. Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot. In part, this was because Trumps leadership was so confusing and chaotic that governors had no alternative but to step into the breach. Of note, the same poll shows Rubio winning his race against likely Democratic nomineeVal Demings, the most prominent Democrat challenging him. Biden is down to a RealClearPoliticsaverageof39.1 percentapproveand 56.4 percent disapprove. A March 21 study from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) found that mask mandates led to "statistically significant decreases in county-level daily COVID-19 case and death growth rates." His disapproval rating has risen over the last two months as Florida's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths have reached their highest levels since the pandemic began. Fifty-four percent of independents disapprove of Abbott, up from Julys number of 48 percent. Follow him on Twitter@KNaughton711. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95% level of confidence. At the start of July, 72 percent of Democrats disapproved of his performance. DeSantis can be DeFeated," the user BrooklynDad_Defiant! Eighty-three percent of Republican voters in Florida approve of the job DeSantis is doing as governor, down from 87 percent in July. The state first broke that record on July 27 with 38,321 newly reported cases. In the 2016 Florida GOP Primary, Trump easily defeated hometown favorite Senator Marco Rubio 46%-27%. Other (albeit mostly older) polls still have the incumbent firmly in the lead as the Florida gubernatorial race heats up. ConsideringBidens polling nosedive and fumbling response to growing domestic problems, Trumps numbers are terrible. Just 37% rated the Florida economy as excellent or good, down 10 points from January. But were having to do all this against this ominous backdrop of whats happening in Washington, DeSantis said during the press conference. Nearly 53.4 percent of its eligible population has been fully vaccinated. Berns Steak House launches a new reservation policy, no-show fees will now benefit Feeding Tampa Bay, Tampa neighborhood association threatens defamation lawsuit over mailer attacking Lynn Hurtak. As Table #1 indicates, with two exceptions, the top 10 governors who have suffered the largest losses are Republican. But his moderation has endeared him to voters in his home state of West Virginia: He has a +22 net approval rating in the R+36 state, for a chamber-leading PARS When voters compared the former president against other political leaders, Trump garnered only a small lead in favorability ahead of Biden 47%-44%, also mirroring the January findings, and was ranked even more narrowly above Vice President Kamala Harris, leading 46%-44%. DeSantis. The poll was referred to by Crist's campaign on Tuesday. In fact, the figures he provided for June show DeSantis regaining the lead, raking up 50 percent of the prospective votes, compared to 47 percent for Crist. In most deep-red states, Republican governors dont have to worry about a Democrat winningthey need to be worried about losing a Republican primary to an anti-vaxxer. 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